The outbreak of the wuhan virus on the Diamond Princess cruise ship (mostly old people) is the only closed population case study we have, where only 1% of the passengers perished. The co-director of the Meta-Research Innovation Center at Stanford University, John Ioannides, cites the science learned from the Diamond Princess situation, and thereby estimates the mortality rate in the general population at 0.3%, that if the wuhan infection spread to the vast majority of the U. S. population, 10,000 could die, to add to the 20,000 to 50,000 estimated having died of the common flu during this flu season.
