While it’s certainly true that many economists are saying we are long overdue for a recession, it can be argued that the current economic boom is only three years old, not eleven years, because “recovery” under Obama can more accurately be called stagnation, so there could be at least five more years of economic progress, well into Trump’s second term. But even if a recession would happen before the 2020 elections, the president will reelect anyway, the public having seen that Trump’s agenda provides great opportunity not to be screwed-up by a bunch of socialists bent on shrinking not growing the pie.