Incumbent U. S. Presidents Almost Always Win Reelection Except by Anemic Performance or Third Party Candidate


Only in unusual circumstances do U. S. presidents fail to win reelection, in the case of Jimmy Carter, because of a stagnant economy with inflation and the Iranian hostage crisis (plus Reagan’s strong candidacy of course), and in George Bush Sr.’s situation, that the Bush-hater Ross Perot ran third party to siphon conservatives away from Bush by Perot’s “giant-sucking sound” line about Mexico and NAFTA, so president Trump is sitting pretty for reelection, considering Howard Schultz is off the radar screen.