Incumbent U. S. Presidents Almost Always Win Reelection Except by Anemic Performance or Third Party Candidate

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Only in unusual circumstances do U. S. presidents fail to win reelection, in the case of Jimmy Carter, because of a stagnant economy with inflation and the Iranian hostage crisis (plus Reagan’s strong candidacy of course), and in George Bush Sr.’s situation, that the Bush-hater Ross Perot ran third party to siphon conservatives away from Bush by Perot’s “giant-sucking sound” line about Mexico and NAFTA, so president Trump is sitting pretty for reelection, considering Howard Schultz is off the radar screen.