John James Surges Nine Points in Michigan Up from Supposedly Huge Deficit But How Were Polls Conducted?


A month ago, Republican John James in Michigan was losing in his attempt to unseat U. S. senator Debbie Stabenow by as much as 18 points, today that lead halved to 9 points, the momentum with John James, who obviously will benefit greatly from a rally with president Trump before election day. Many of the polls taken these days assume that registered Republicans compose about 25% of the electorate, while the true figure is at least 30%, so considering also that the Democrats are often over-sampled in the polls, and a reverse Bradley effect, James could actually be very near even with the incumbent.